Is the World Ready? — 2025 Solar Storm

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Is the World Ready? — 2025 Solar Storm

According to a study, the world may face a space-air disaster that occurs every 100 years in the coming years, and possibly in July of 2025.

An enormous coronal mass ejection bursts from the Sun in 2012. Luckily this one missed Earth. Credit: NASA/GSFC/SDO

The natural phenomenon that occurs when high-energy particles hit the earth as a result of eruptions and explosions experienced in the sun is called a solar storm. Our planet’s magnetic shield prevents these charged particles from the sun from harming the Earth and its inhabitants, and throws these particles towards the poles — leaves behind a pleasant aurora.

However, according to a scientific study called Solar Superstorms: Planning the Internet Apocalypse, the world may face a space-air disaster of the magnitude and severity that occurs every 100 years in the coming years, most likely in July 2025. Worse still, an internet apocalypse could occur.

Astrophysicists estimate the likelihood of a solar storm of suffcient strength to cause catastrophic disruption occurring within the next decade to be 1.6 – 12%. Paying attention to this threat and planning defenses against it, like our preliminary effort in this paper, is critical for the long-term resilience of the Internet. – Sangeetha Abdu Jyothi, University of California, Irvine and VMware Research

100 years ago, in 1921, simultaneous fires broke out at electricity and telegraph points in many parts of the world, including the USA and England. Similar reports have been shared from all over the world regarding these problems on telegraph and power lines. It is even said that “Aurora Borealis” was seen in the NY skies just before this event. How did auroras, a natural phenomenon normally seen at the poles, created by charged particles from the sun, appear in the skies of New York?

Illustration of a coronal mass ejection headed toward Earth. Credit: ESA

You know, in my previous article about the earth’s magnetic field, I mentioned that these auroras can be seen in different parts of the world when the magnetic field changes direction. However, what is different this time is the possibility that these auroras can be seen even from the equator as a result of very strong solar flares, although there is no change in the earth’s magnetic field.

Solar flares and the much more effective “coronal mass ejection” eruptions occur at regular intervals in the sun. What we call “mass ejection” is the sun’s ejection of large masses of plasma into space. These massive plasmas can sometimes coincide with Earth, and scientists refer to this period of greatest solar activity as the “Solar Maximum.”

The solar activity since 1700 Credit: weather.plus

These activities of the sun have been recorded regularly since the 1700s. As can be seen, the activities of the sun reach a maximum level every 11 years, and sometimes huge storms occur during these cycles. One of these is the Carrington event in 1859, the strongest solar storm event ever recorded. You may be a little surprised, but when this event took place, auroras were seen in countries close to the equator, such as Cuba.

It is thought that we have almost entered the next period when solar activity is most intense, namely the so-called solar maximum, and scientists predict that the next cycle will be in July 2025.

Credit: Getty Images

The problem is this: there is a huge difference between this event with these huge solar storms and today: technology. As of today’s point, with technology and the internet being used almost everywhere, we have no idea what the consequences would be in the case of a similar event, such as a Carrington event that can be experienced today.

So what happens if a huge solar storm hits our world in this period when we have modern technology? Today, we are all familiar with regional power outages. However, in the event of a strong solar storm, we would expect these outages to be global rather than regional. So what happens in a global and long-term internet outage? It is difficult to comment on this. because we have never encountered such an event before. But there are some calculation tools for the results of this: https://netblocks.org/cost/

A one-day internet outage costs the world approximately $29 billion.

Is it possible to be exposed to a solar storm that will cause a global internet outage?

In previous articles, I said that nature recorded some natural phenomena before humans and that these were found in very interesting ways. For example, through the ancient clay jars that people made at a time when they were not even aware of the earth’s magnetic field, scientists today have an idea about what movements the magnetic field makes and when it cycles.

“Ceramics have tiny minerals — magnetic ‘recorders’ — that save information about the magnetic field of the time the clay was in the kiln”, researcher Erez Ben-Yosef from Tel Aviv University in Israel told The Jewish Press.

It is really interesting that people who made clay jars in ancient times serve science nowadays, and more interestingly, solar activity was recorded directly by nature itself, not by any man-made material.

Japanese cedar trees, shown here lining the path to Togakushi Shrine in Nagano, Japan, can live to be thousands of years old. (Credit: Chris 73/Wikimedia Commons)

As a matter of fact, a study reveals that trees and even glaciers have recorded solar activity for a long time. Carbon-14, produced in the Earth’s atmosphere as a result of nuclear interactions with galactic cosmic rays, gives us information about the radioactive movements of the sun as a result of the absorption of trees to produce oxygen. As 14C is a radioisotope with a half-life of 5,730 years, the 14C content in tree rings provides a record of cosmic ray intensity and solar activity over a few tens of millennia.

According to this research, the world has encountered three very big cosmic events in the last 10,000 years. These are 7176, 5259 BC, and 775 A.D. It is not known exactly what caused this, but it is thought to be most likely caused by solar storms. But these storms are so powerful that they are estimated to be megastorms, almost 100 times stronger than the Carrington Event in our recent history. In short, it reveals that there are not only 11-year or 100-year cycles, but also 1000-year or even 10000-year cycles. Are the consequences of exposure to such a great storm predictable?

While the world is going through a fragile period, I am sure that the consequences of facing a serious cosmic event will be very severe. We should not rely on our technology, we should not forget that nature is still much more powerful than us.

Every day is a good day to be alive, whether the sun’s shining or not. — Marty Robbins


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